Destined For War

Can America and China Escape Thucydides's Trap?

Graham Allison

• Éditeur: Mariner Books
• Année: 2017
• ISBN:
  9780544935334
• Sujet: Política y relaciones internacionales
• Sous-sujet: Historia y teoría política

NATIONAL BESTSELLER | NEW YORK TIMES NOTABLE BOOK OF THE YEAR. From an eminent international security scholar, an urgent examination of the conditions that could produce a catastrophic conflict between the United States and China—and how it might be prevented. China and the United States are heading toward a war neither wants. The reason is Thucydides's Trap: when a rising power threatens to displace a ruling one, violence is the likeliest result. Over the past five hundred years, these conditions have occurred sixteen times; war broke out in twelve. At the time of publication, an unstoppable China approached an immovable America, and both Xi Jinping and Donald Trump promised to make their countries "great again, " the seventeenth case was looking grim—it still is. A trade conflict, cyberattack, Korean crisis, or accident at sea could easily spark a major war. In Destined for War, eminent Harvard scholar Graham Allison masterfully blends history and current events to explain the timeless machinery of Thucydides's Trap—and to explore the painful steps that might prevent disaster today. SHORT-LISTED FOR THE 2018 LIONEL GELBER PRIZE
NAMED A BEST BOOK OF THE YEAR BY: FINANCIAL TIMES * THE TIMES (LONDON)* AMAZON "Allison is one of the keenest observers of international affairs around." — President Joe Biden "[A] must-read book in both Washington and Beijing." — Boston Globe "[Full of] wide-ranging, erudite case studies that span human history... [A] fine book."— New York Times Book Review

Index

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A | B | C | D | E | F | G | H | I | J | K | L | M | N | O | P | Q | R | S | T | U | V | W | X | Y | Z

Page numbers in italics refer to figures.

A

Abe, Shinzo, 161

ABM (Anti-Ballistic Missile) Treaty, 225

accommodation, 196, 213, 221–23, 271, 273, 305 n58, 328 n17

See also compromise; cooperation

Acheson, Dean, 238, 280

active defense, 155, 158

Adams, Brooks, 96

Adams, John Quincy, 94

Admiralty, British, 63, 72, 196, 213, 307 n90

Aegean Sea, 31, 34

Afghanistan, 8, 161, 175, 203, 225, 283, 331 n10

Africa, 60, 69, 77, 162, 222, 245–46, 255, 266, 274, 303 n44, 339 n2

See also South Africa

Agadir Crisis, 76, 78–79, 309–10 nn110–11

Age of Greatness (Swedish), 254

AIIB (Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank), 22–23

Air-Sea Battle, 132, 171–72, 175, 325 n81

Alaska, 94, 102–4, 196–99, 273, 318 n74

Albania, 34

Alexander VI (pope), 189, 246–47

Alfonso V (king), 331 n8, 339 n2

Ali, Muhammad, 140

alliances

Britain and, 72, 77, 270, 306 n80

eight-nation, 112

Greek, 31–36

risks of, 53–54, 175–78, 211–12

Russo-French, 62–63, 66, 73, 195, 249

United States and, 180, 204–5, 219, 271

See also individual alliances

Alverstone, Lord, 103–4, 318 n74

American Academy of Arts and Sciences, 17

American Civil War, 62, 91, 195, 197, 199, 213, 221, 271

American Revolution, 142

Angell, Norman, 206, 210

Anglo-Dutch Wars, 255–5...