1
Introduction
What is uncertainty?
Jede Wissenschaft ist, unter anderem, ein Ordnen, ein Vereinfachen, ein Verdaulichmachen des Unverdaulichen für den Geist.1
This is an unusual book. Its unusual features may be able to provide a different insight into the study of international law, but they do require an explanation. How scholars conceive of what they are doing is fundamental for their work: it is their approach. The Pure Theory of Law makes a distinctly modernist claim to applying scientific methodology to law. This is the notion that what we do is a legal science in some proper sense of the word, what for the German language is Rechtswissenschaft. The approach also determines the relationship to other theories of ‘what lawyers do’,2 more so than differences in substance.
As this monograph provides a critique of traditional international legal scholarship from a very specific point of departure, both that critique and the constructive elements are merely one possible view or approach. The existence of many rival theoretical approaches as well as some pragmatic, a-theoretical views of international law is evidence enough to suggest that other views are entirely possible and on a philosophical level equally plausible. On this philosophical level the choice of theory made here is arbitrary3 and not justifiable.4 And this argument for a relativistic approach is itself wholly in line with the Pure Theory’s
consistent value-relativism, for that question may be asked normatively: what approach ought one to take? If this is a normative question,5 then value-relativists cease to desire to provide a ‘right’ answer and will content themselves with describing the competing values. The relativity of the Pure Theory as choice will be emphasised throughout this book. The goal is to utilise that particular approach, to consistently apply it to some of the problems facing international law today and to see what benefits and problems this engenders for our study of the law – no more.
The Vienna School of Jurisprudence is a Modernist movement, embedded in the early twentieth-century Viennese milieu that enabled the creation of many other prominent modernisms, such as the Logical Positivism of the Vienna Circle, modernist architecture, literature and music. As Modernist theory, it has a very strong inclination towards certain aims in what it does. It is clearly an epistemological approach, based on the notion that the goal of legal science is to perceive law in the most objective fashion possible6 and that norms constitute a ‘truth’ in some sense of the word that is worth perceiving. While they acknowledge that the notions of ‘objectivity’ and ‘truth’ are problematic and that epistemological problems might exist that may make the cognition of its object difficult or impossible, another modernist characteristic is that they would not consider ceasing to strive for a scientific perception of law in favour of a pragmatic or political conception.
But why would one want to write on the uncertainty of international law and describe what is not law when there is so much law left to describe? What benefits can possibly arise from not describing how international law is, but how it is not, or from knowing which areas of law we do not know? International law’s uncertainty is interesting, because international law is uncertain, at least more so than most municipal legal systems.7 Also, international legal writings generally do not penetrate very deeply into the realm of theory. This form of scholarship has sometimes even been called a literary genre.8
From a theoretical point of view, however, international law is not categorically more uncertain than any other legal system. International law and municipal laws are not categorically different legal orders, as traditional scholarship sometimes argues. Uncertainties occur in municipal settings just as much as they do in international law. The structural problems of international law are the same as those of any law or of any normative system. Municipal systems and the people involved in their operation just happen to be better at hiding these problems. Written constitutions tend to blind us to the theoretical failings and uncertainties by virtue of the domination of doctrine, the domination of ‘the’ constitution, the domination of the inevitable ‘gap-filler’ of a dominant legal culture. Also, if one
proceeds from certainty, one has to presuppose much more of the theoretical underpinnings, as one inevitably does. Furthermore, it is likely that the theoretical basis remains in the scholar’s subconscious and is not made part of the debate.
Explaining the causes of uncertainty is important, because by uncovering the causes we can at least try to avoid uncertainty in future law-making. The reasons why international law is uncertain will also help us better understand the theory of norms and its failings. International law is a good test-case for theory, because through the absence of a dominant legal culture and doctrine we can cognise the theoretical substructure (and its problems) much more clearly9 – without first having to circumvent a municipal legal tradition’s taboos.
Uncertainty is not some monolithic phenomenon or a feature of positive international law. To attempt a definition of a complex set of causes and manifestations before one has had a look at the ‘lie of the land’, in this case at the law and theories about it, is not likely to yield useful results. Describing uncertainty does not involve the creation of a theory from thought alone. This book as a whole is an attempt to define uncertainty by showing what it looks like in areas of positive international law and legal theory. In this respect, the book works like an induction from a mass of empirical data.
Since uncertainty is multi-phenomenal and multi-causal, a definition in the classical sense – a reduction to one simple explanation (e.g. ‘because states are sovereign’) – will not be successful. The only alternative is to list manifestations and to categorise them. Like an archaeologist digging test trenches to uncover a hidden structure, this book will give examples of uncertainties in international law and their causes in the following chapters.
One can distinguish four levels of uncertainty in international law. Level One concerns the uncertainty of substantive legal norms (Chapter 2). The norm may be valid or not, but we cannot know whether it is, what its content is (Chapter 4), or its content may be so indeterminate to make its subsumption to facts impossible. Level Two is an uncertainty of law-making norms, the law on sources (Chapter 3). Level Three is an uncertainty as to the ‘possibility’ of a source, i.e. of the constitution of international law (Chapter 6). Level Four is uncertainty in the theory of norms. The possibility of the existence of norms is uncertain, because, for example, there is too much law (Chapter 5). Even if we start assuming dogmas at the higher levels of the thought-pyramid – as we will have to (Chapter 7) – we cannot thereby fully determine the content of the lower levels. If we were, for example, to assume that customary international law exists as a source, we would not thereby have fully determined what elements are necessary to create customary law. If we were to assume that customary law came from state practice and opinio iuris, we could not thereby have fully determined what norms actually are customary international law.
Lastly, there is a fundamental distinction between two types of uncertainty. On the one hand we have epistemological uncertainty. There are inherent limits as to how
well we can perceive law. Practical and theoretical problems may hinder us from knowing whether a proposed norm ‘Op’ is a norm of international law. We may, for example, be unclear as to what is required to create a norm of customary international law and thus not know whether the proposed norm is such a norm. We may also be certain that ‘Op’ is written in a treaty, but interpretation as perception of the content or meaning of the norm is a new factor of uncertainty. On the other hand there is ontological uncertainty. Whereas the question of epistemological uncertainty is whether we can accurately perceive international law, here the question transcends these problems to come to the direct question of what happens when international law itself is, when the norms themselves are, problematic. When two norms conflict, we assume both to be valid, but it is an ontological question what happens when they conflict.
Thus, the only answer that can be given at the beginning of the book is that no definite answer can be given. The phenomenon of ‘uncertainty’ is neither confined to international law, nor is it resolvable in most cases, nor does it have a definite cause. To deny uncertainty where it exists, however, is one of the gravest failings a scholar can commit, because scholarship is a commitment to seek knowledge. Knowing where our knowledge ends is itself knowledge.