Why Nobody Believes the Numbers
Distinguishing Fact from Fiction in Population Health Management
- English
- ePUB (mobile friendly)
- Available on iOS & Android
Why Nobody Believes the Numbers
Distinguishing Fact from Fiction in Population Health Management
About This Book
Why Nobody Believes the Numbers introduces a unique viewpointto population health outcomes measurement: Results/ROIs should be presented as they are, not aswe wish they would be. This viewpoint contrasts sharply with vendor/promoter/consultant claims along two very important dimensions:
(1) Why Nobody Believes presents outcomes/ROIs achievable right here on this very planetā¦
(2) ā¦calculated usingactual data rather than controlled substances.
Indeed, nowhere in healthcare is it possible to find such sharply contrasting worldviews, methodologies, and grips on reality.
Why Nobody Believes the Numbers i ncludes 12 case studies of vendors, carriers, and consultants who were apparently playing hooky the day their teacher covered fifth-grade math, as told by an author whose argument style can be so persuasive that he was once able to convince a resort to sell him a timeshare. Thebook's lesson: no need to believe what your vendor tells you -- instead you can estimate your own savings using "ingredients you already have in your kitchen." Don't be intimidated just because you lack a PhD in biostatistics, or even a Masters, Bachelor's, high-school equivalency diploma or up-to-date inspection sticker.
Why Nobody Believes the Numbers explains how todetermine if the ROIs are real...and why they usually aren't. You'll learn how to:
- Figure out whether you are "moving the needle" or just crediting a program with changes that would have happened anyway
- Judge whether the ROIs your vendors report are plausible or even arithmetically possible
- Synthesize all these insights into RFPs and contracts that truly hold vendors accountable for results
Frequently asked questions
Table of contents
- Cover
- Praise for Why Nobody Believes the Numbers
- Title Page
- Copyright
- Dedication
- Introduction
- Chapter 1: Actuaries Behaving Badly
- Chapter 2: Plausibility Testing: How to Measure Outcomes Using Ingredients You Already Have in Your Kitchen
- Chapter 3: Case Studies That Flunk Every Plausibility Test Known to Mankind
- Chapter 4: Case Studies That Flunk Every Plausibility Test Known to Mankind and Then Some
- Chapter 5: Case Studies of Where, When, and How Wellness Programs Have Actually Worked
- Chapter 6: Yes, Virginia, There Is a Savings Clause
- Chapter 7: Disease Management Programs That Actually Work (Pinch Me)
- Chapter 8: Contracting/RFP Checklist of Do's and Don'ts (Mostly Don'ts)
- Appendix: The Keys to the Numerical Kingdom
- Author's Note on Sources
- Notes
- Glossary
- About the Author
- Bibliography and Further Reading
- Acknowledgments