Recently, some philosophers have argued that evolutionary theory debunks beliefs in robust mind-independent moral facts. To make their case, some of these evolutionary debunkers rely on the notion of higher-order evidence of error. Despite differences in detail, the arguments put forth by Tomas Bogardus (2016), Andreas Mogensen (2014, 2017) and – at least on Vavova’s (2014) compelling reconstruction – Sharon Street (2006) share the following structure:
This argument, if sound, forces moral realists into moral scepticism: even if robust moral facts exist, our beliefs about them aren’t justified. To begin with, the first premise introduces the notion of higher-order evidence of error. Such evidence of error indicates that one suffers from some epistemic malfunction.11 Here are two familiar examples:
Offside Call: In my spare time, I enjoy attending football games with my best friend Julian. We are both equally good at spotting whether a forward is offside or not. Last Sunday, though, we disagreed: while Julian judged that our forward started from an off-side position and the resulting goal was thus irregular, it seemed to me that our forward timed his run well and was onside.12
Hypoxia: While climbing the Dufour peak in the Swiss Alps, the weather suddenly turns near the summit. I stop briefly to calculate whether there is enough time to reach the peak and start the climb down before the snow storm hits. After going over my calculations several times, I am rather confident that I should be able to make it. However, I suddenly remember that given the high altitude, I am very likely to suffer from mild hypoxia (or lack of oxygen), which undetectably impairs one’s reasoning, leading to stupid yet fatal mistakes.13
In the first case, I receive evidence of peer disagreement: Julian and I are equally good at making offside calls, but disagree about whether our forward was offside or not this time. Since we cannot both be right (but are equally good at making offside calls), one of us must be in error, which might very well be me. In contrast, the second case features evidence of unreliability: hypoxia makes it likely that my reasoning (about time, in this case) is mistaken.14
The first premise doesn’t just introduce higher-order evidence of error but also articulates a view about its epistemic significance. Conciliationism says that higher-order evidence of error defeats the justification of relevant first-order beliefs.15 Originally, this view was defended in the context of peer disagreement, recommending that one conciliate (hence its name) upon receiving evidence of peer disagreement, such as in Off-side Call.16 However, it can easily be generalized, resulting in a view that says that any kind of higher-order evidence of error defeats justification.17 For instance, it would say that, in Hypoxia, learning of my likely reason-distortion defeats the justification of my belief that I have enough time to reach the Dufour peak and return safely. So conciliationism is a moderate form of scepticism: according to it, higher-order evidence of error defeats justification but only the justification of those first-order beliefs that we have such evidence about.18
Conciliationism is prima facie attractive.19 First, it accommodates our intuitions: in both Offside Call and Hypoxia, it seems intuitively appropriate to revise our beliefs in light of the higher-order evidence of error – which conciliationism respects. Second, the view also plausibly explains our intuitions. For instance, given that Julian and I are equally likely to get offside calls right and that there must be a mistake on either his or my part in Offside Call, we both have reason to think that we have made a mistake, which may well be enough to defeat the justification of our relevant beliefs. Similarly, given evidence of my medical condition in Hypoxia, it is significantly more likely that I have made a justification-defeating mistake in my time management. Third, conciliationism follows from a seemingly plausible principle for correctly evaluating evidence. According to independence, we should assess higher-order evidence of error with respect to p independently of our original first-order evidence, beliefs or reasoning in support of p.20 To see why that seems plausible, reconsider Offside Call: once I learn that Julian, an epistemic peer, disagrees with me, it would be intuitively wrong or irrational to dismiss his judgment by depending on my initial perceptual seeming that the forward wasn’t offside. (Similarly, for Hypoxia: sticking with my original reasoning would be epistemically problematic in the face of (significant risk of) an altitude-induced distortion of reasoning.) But once we accept independence, conciliationism straightforwardly follows: if it is rational to bracket one’s first-order evidence and more and thus only the higher-order evidence of error matters, it will defeat the justification of our relevant first-order beliefs.21
The second premise states that evolutionary considerations provide moral realists with higher-order evidence of error about their moral beliefs.22 But what kind of evidence is this exactly? There are at least two answers in the literature, both of which work for the argument.
On the one hand, according to Sharon Street (2006), moral realists face a scenario similar to Hypoxia. For her, evolutionary considerations provide moral realists with evidence of moral unreliability.23 After all, when moral realists reflect on the evolutionary origin of our moral beliefs, they must realize that evolution selects for adaptive, not true, moral beliefs.24 For instance, suppose you believe that you have special moral obligations to your family, based on a corresponding moral intuition. But then you realize that we evolved to survive, not to track mind-independent moral truths, and that it is therefore likely that your belief is false. So moral realists have good reason to think that their moral beliefs have been unreliably formed: they are the upshot of a process that was not designed to get at moral truth. In that way, evolutionary considerations provide moral realists with evidence of moral unreliability.
On the other hand, for Bogardus (2016) and Mogensen (2014, 2017), moral realists find themselves in a situation similar to Offside Call.25 According to them, evolutionary considerations amount to evidence of possible peer disagreement: evidence that moral realists could disagree with their evolutionary counterparts about fundamental moral matters (such as the wrongness of incest or slavery, our obligations towards our children, that ethnicity doesn’t matter to moral standing, etc.). After all, moral realists must realize that, had humans evolved differently, they would hold different moral beliefs now. Suppose moral realists believe that incest is morally wrong, on the basis of a corresponding moral intuition. Their evolutionary counterparts might disagree: since incest did not hamper their reproductive fitness, they don’t believe that it is morally impermissible. Rather, they believe that it is perfectly morally alright, on the basis of their corresponding moral intuition. In that manner, evolutionary considerations amount to evi...