1
The Problem
The dawning of a new millennium is bringing closure to the bloodiest hundred years in human history. Not only did the twentieth century witness two cataclysmic world wars, it also gave birth to the phenomenon of totalitarianism, a âhistorically unique and sui generisâ1 form of government that is unparalleled in its systematic and organized brutality. In a totalitarian dictatorship, political rule is âall-embracingâ2 because the state attempts to control every aspect of society, including the individualâs private life and thoughts.3
Totalitarian systems are conventionally subdivided into those of the right and the left. On the right are Nazi Germany, Fascist Italy, and Imperial Japanâthe Axis powers and aggressors in World War II. On the left is the subspecies of communist countries, epitomized by the Soviet Union and the Peopleâs Republic of China (PRC).
Although right and left totalitarianism, in the judgment of Carl Friedrich and Zbigniew Brzezinski, âare sufficiently alike to class them together,â4 they differ in several important aspects. Anti-Semitism, while often cited as one such distinction, does not seem to qualify. Lawrence C. Mayer contended that whereas racism in general and anti-Semitism in particular constituted a key element in Nazi ideology and that, although Marxism preached the brotherhood of an entire economic class that would presumably encompass all races, in practice the Soviet Union became âone of the worldâs most vociferously anti-Semitic states.â5
All totalitarian systems are characterized by central control and direction of the entire economy, but in right totalitarianism, state control of the economy is effected through the economic system of corporatism, which retains the private sector with its private property ownership and enterprises. Left totalitarianism, in contrast, abolishes private ownership altogether and replaces it with state ownership and central planning. Right and left also differ in their enemies. Whereas the ideology of left totalitarianism pivots on Karl Marxâs notion of class warfare and identifies the domestic and international bourgeoisie as the enemy, right totalitarianismâs worldview is not class-based but is animated instead by an aggressive and expansionist nationalism.6 Right and left totalitarianism also differ in their durability. All three exemplars of right totalitarianism were defeated in World War II and became successfully democratized. The communist left, in contrast, has proven to be more pervasive and enduring.
Russia was the first country to embrace communism, in the Bolshevik Revolution of 1917. From the newly founded Soviet Union, communism ultimately expanded to some 150 countries in almost every continent in the worldâin Eastern Europe, Asia, Africa, and Latin America. At its zenith, communism was the ruling system for over one-third of humanity and accounted for more than 40 percent of industrial production in the world.7
Communismâs inspiration and legitimation was the ideology of Marxism-Leninism, at the heart of which was the promise of universal brotherhood and equality. But âthe Devil may appear in the vesture of the Angel of Light.â8 Despite its utopian impulse, the reality of communism proved to be very different. As Brzezinski expressed it, communism, born out of âan impatient idealismâ that rejected the injustice of the status quo and sought a better and more humane society, captivated some of the brightest minds and the most idealistic hearts. Despite those benign impulses, communism produced mass oppression and âprompted some of the worst crimes of this or any century.â9 With the clarity of hindsight, Klaus Risse, head of Section A of East Germanyâs secret police, now could see that communismâs basic flaw was that it failed to take into account âthe inner Schweinehund.â Communism could have worked only if people had been angels.10
Instead of utopia, what actually transpired in Marxist states was a dystopic nightmare that took the lives of 85 to 100 million people who perished from misguided economic experiments and deliberate abuse and murder by the state. The Peopleâs Republic of China has the dubious distinction of having the greatest human toll, at 45 to 72 million.11 In the Soviet Union between 1917 and 1987, anywhere from 32 to 62 million people lost their lives;12 in Lithuania between 1940 and 1955, some 1.2 million were killed or were dispatched to labor camps; in Hungary 15,000 died in Budapest during the 1956 uprising; in Vietnam a minimum of 65,000 were executed after 1975; in Cambodia, in a span of merely three years between 1975 and 1978, the Khmer Rouge regime exterminated a third (2.3 million) of the population.13 At a minimum, the human costs of communism amounted to 50 million lives, representing âwithout a doubtâ the most extravagant and wasteful experiment in social engineering ever attempted.14
It was because of communism that, instead of international peace, the end of World War II was followed by a Cold War. For more than four decades, the world teetered on the brink of nuclear war between the two superpowers that led their respective ideological camps. Only with the abrupt dissolution of the Soviet Union in 1991 did the Cold War end. Until that time, the West had regarded communism with equal measures of loathing and fear. If not immutable, communism was believed to be inherently stable.
As an example, Samuel Huntington wrote in 1970 that he expected ârevolutionaryâ one-party systems like the Soviet Union to evolve through three phases to become âestablishedâ one-party systemsâtheir evolution propelled by the political leadershipâs successes in the earlier phase.15 There were even those in the West who seemed convinced that communist countries possessed strengths, superior to those of representative democracies, which would ensure not only their enduring survival but their continuous advance in the world.16 Jean-Frangois Revel, for one, observed that democracies were inherently vulnerable to what he called âthe totalitarian temptation,â their chief weakness being their disposition to be excessively self- critical about the perceived economic and moral failings of capitalism. Communist countries, in contrast, were impervious to that corrosive selfdoubt because of the stateâs iron control over speech, information, and communication. Once a people came under communist rule, Revel lamented, it would be âtoo late to escape it should they change their minds.â After a generation, their capacity to dream and to think would begin to fail because of propaganda and cultural isolation, rendering them incapable of imagining either past or future. Revel concluded that the transition to totalitarian rule âis by definition irrevocable, except in the case of some cataclysm like a world war.â17
In the aftermath of the rapid dissolution of the Soviet Union and its satellite states in Eastern Europe, the Westâs insecurity now seems misplaced. What was, to Revel, the major weakness of democracies turned out instead to be their strength. As a leader of Polandâs Solidarity movement put it, âonly democracyâhaving the capacity to question itselfâalso has the capacity to correct its own mistakes.â18
The almost overnight disappearance of the Soviet bloc has revealed communism to be far from irrevocable, but inherently flawed and untenable. Although Brzezinski in 1961 was convinced that there was no reason to conclude that the existing totalitarian systems would disappear as a result of internal evolution, the same Brzezinski in 1989 recognized communism to be a âgrandâ and âhistoric failureâ whose fatal flaws were âdeeply embedded in the very nature of the Marxist-Leninist praxis.â Possessed of intrinsic shortcomings in every aspectâits operation, institutions, and philosophyâcommunism âno longer has a practical model for others to emulate.â19
Since their dissolution, the erstwhile communist states in Russia and East Europe have had varying success at effectuating successful transitions to market-based democracies. Thus far, the more successful cases include Hungary, Poland, and the Czech Republic. For Romania, Russia, and the other constituent republics of the former Soviet Union, the outlook is uncertain. The least effective transitions would have to be those of Albania and Yugoslavia. In the case of Albania, after a spontaneous popular uprising against its corrupt post-communist government, the country dissolved into anarchy that left 2,000 people dead by the end of 1997. For its part, the end of communist rule in Yugoslavia saw the countryâs descent into the bloodbath of âethnic cleansing,â which was contained only by the forceful intervention and subsequent occupation by NATO troops led by the United States.
The effort to understand, explain, and predict the evolution of communist systems20 must go beyond the former Soviet bloc countries to take into account the worldâs remaining communist countries. The latter are subdivided into two distinct groups. A first group is comprised of the unregener- ate and unreformed communist states of North Korea and Cuba, the economies of which are in precipitous decline.21 By introducing market reforms, China pioneered the way for a second group of remnant communist states comprised of China and Vietnam. Unlike the former Soviet Union where Mikhail Gorbachev instituted political reform before (and without) significant economic reform, the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) took an opposite course of action. Beginning in late 1978 under the leadership of Deng Xiaoping, the CCP undertook radical reform of the economic system while eschewing any meaningful political reform.
Reform of the Chinese economy began in December 1978 in the countryside with agricultural decollectivization. Maoâs gargantuan communes were dismantled and the unit of farming reverted to Chinaâs millennial tradition of the family household, to which the state conferred usufruct rights over land. From the countryside, the economic reform rapidly expanded to the cities. Private and collectively owned businesses and industries began to proliferate in cities, towns, and villages; an âopen doorâ policy toward the West was inaugurated to attract foreign trade and investment.
The results of Dengâs economic reforms were quick and impressive. Since 1979, the Chinese economy has grown by an average real rate of 9 to 10 percent a yearâa record that is unprecedented in recent world history. If China can sustain that rate of growth, its gross national product (GNP) will double every ten years,22 catapulting the Peopleâs Republic to superpower status by 2025.
By making China stronger and more prosperous, the economic reforms have extended the lifespan of Chinese communismâbut at the cost of ideological dilution. Nor is ideological dilution the only tradeoff. Dengâs economic reforms have also spawned a host of unintended consequences that are social, economic, demographic, ecological, as well as political. Today, the most serious of those problems threaten not only the CCPâs political power but the very integrity and continuity of the Peopleâs Republic.23
Seymour Martin Lipset once noted that political leaders in developing countries must suffer the brunt of the resentments and problems caused by industrialization, including rapid urbanization and a growing gap between the newly rich and the poor. If the leaders fail to find an effective way to resolve those problems, they lose their hold on the masses. In the case of socialist developing countries, where âthere is still a need for intense political controversy and ideology,â the position of political leaders is even more tenuous. If the leaders were to admit that Marxism is an outmoded doctrine, they would risk becoming conservatives within their own societies, a role that they cannot play and still retain a popular following. Lipset expected the political leadership to adopt a strategy of blaming the ills of development on scapegoats who could be domestic capitalists, foreign investors, Christianity, or âthe departed imperialists.â24
To further complicate the Communist Partyâs predicament, the ideo- cratic25 nature of Chinaâs political system demands more than pragmatic legitimacy. From its inception, political rule in the Peopleâs Republic was legitimated by the CCPâs claim to possess special truths and insights imparted by an absolutist and comprehensive ideology that presumed to know the past and present, as well as predict the course of societal evolution. Given its ideocratic character, the Communist Party is compelled to see...