1 Will the Apocalypse Have Been Now?
Literary Criticism in an Age of Global Risk
Molly Wallace
Given its impalpability, its lubricity, can this protracted apocalypse be grasped, or only sensed faintly as we slip listlessly through it?
âAndrew McMurray, âThe Slow Apocalypseâ (1996)
The future inhabits the present, yet it also has not yet comeârather like the way toxics inhabit the bodies of those exposed, setting up the future, but not yet manifest as disease, or even as an origin from which a specific and known disease will come.
âKim Fortun, Advocacy After Bhopal (2001)
THE SECOND NUCLEAR AGE
From the start of what, in retrospect, may have been the first nuclear age, perhaps no image has so captured the sense of looming risk that nuclear weapons pose as the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientistsâ âDoomsday Clock,â an icon that has graced the cover of that publication since 1947. As the editors put it then, the Clock represents âthe state of mind of those whose closeness to the development of atomic energy does not permit them to forget that their lives and those of their children, the security of their country and the survival of civilization, all hang in the balance as long as the specter of atomic war has not been exorcisedâ (âIf the UNâ 169). And, from its perilously close two minutes to midnight following the detonation of the first Soviet bomb in 1953 to its position at a relatively comfortable seventeen minutes to midnight in 1991, the Clock has stood as a barometer of the worldâs proximity to its end. With the end of the Cold War, this icon might seem to have joined duck-and-cover drills and fallout shelters as an archaic relic of the atomic age; nevertheless, it has continued to mark the timesâand has marched fairly steadily toward midnight, from fourteen minutes in 1995, to nine in 1998, to seven in 2002, each tick reminding us that, though the cultural obsession with the nuclear may have waned, we continue to live under the shadow of the atomic bomb.
But even as it represents the continuity of risk, the Clock has also changed with the times. Indeed, when it appeared on the cover of the publication in early 2007âreset to five minutes to midnightâits symbolic valence had subtly changed. Still measuring nuclear threatsâthe USâ then-interest in usable nukes, the spread of weapons to North Korea and potentially Iran, and the resurgence of investment in nuclear powerâthe Clock had also begun to register other risks that the Bulletin felt had graduated to the scale of the nuclear, including particularly climate change, but as the Bulletinâs scien-tific panel of sponsors added, also biotechnology and nanotechnology, an epochal shift that the Bulletin suggested constituted a âsecond nuclear ageâ (Board of Directors, âIt Is Five Minutesâ 66). As Sir Martin Rees, president of The Royal Society and a Bulletin sponsor, put it: âNuclear weapons still pose the most catastrophic and immediate threat to humanity, but climate change and emerging technologies in the life sciences also have the potential to end civilization as we know itâ (ââDoomsday Clockâ Moves Two Minutesâ). In the âsecond nuclear age,â then, the term ânuclearâ appears to operate as a synecdoche for global environmental risk more generally, what German sociologist Ulrich Beck has called âworld risk society.â
Periodizing the contemporary is always a tricky combination of divining and conjuring, but whether or not recent events warrant its inauguration, the Bulletinâs âsecond nuclear ageâ at least offers an occasion for reflec-tion on how we understand contemporary risk. Ticking back and forth between two and seventeen minutes to midnight over the last six decades, the Clock provides a kind of odd synchronicity, such that, for example, five minutes to midnight put 2007 roughly where the Clock stood in the mid- 1980s (between 1984âs three minutes and 1988âs six).1 Taking inspiration from this temporal coincidence, this essay returns to that earlier moment of risk, and to an accompanying attempt to grapple with its implications: a foundational moment in what is sometimes still called ânuclear criticism,â a sub field of literary studies that has been, since the Cold War, largely neglectedâand perhaps for good reason. Though there were multiple nuclear criticisms, variously poststructuralist and ethicopolitical, all varieties were predicated on features of the atomic age that were fairly specific to the Cold War momentâthe rhetoric of deterrence and the imagining of total thermonuclear warâboth of which, in the age of dirty bombs and mini-nukes, might feel a bit anachronistic. When what the Clock measures is no longer only nuclear, but also chemical, biological, and atmospheric, the speeds are varied and the ends less sure.
In the contemporary era of environmental destruction, ecocriticism, the study of literature and the environment, might seem, quite rightly, to have taken nuclear criticismâs place. In the process, however, as I will suggest, ecocriticism may have missed an opportunity to draw insight from this earlier work. My purpose here is not, however, to resurrect nuclear criticism as a field with its own conference or professional organization; rather, I return to this earlier work in order to suggest that bringing nuclear criticism and ecocriticism together under the rubric of something like a ârisk criticism,â a literary critical version of Ulrich Beckâs risk society, might offer a way to theorize the mega-hazards of the present. And to do so in timeâthat is, in the risk temporality of the second nuclear age.
NUCLEAR CRITICISMâS ENDS
An analysis of the political and theoretical implications of the nuclear age, nuclear criticism reached the apex of professional respectability in 1984 when no less a luminary than Jacques Derrida joined other notables in a special issue of Diacritics devoted to the nuclear. His essay, on the âfabulously textualâ qualities of the bomb, set off a veritable chain reaction of poststructuralist accounts, with some critics suggesting that nuclear criticism might take its place among feminist criticism, Marxist criticism, and other established subfields of literary studies. Despite the persistence of the nuclear after the Cold War, however, the half-life of nuclear criticism seems to be of a shorter duration, with only a few of the most resilient critics persisting today. As the Doomsday Clock suggests, timeâand its endâ had a key role in thinking the nuclear, in nuclear criticism fully as much as in nuclear popular culture. The discourses of deterrence, the notion of mutually assured destruction (or MAD), required the potential âmidnightâ of the clockâthat is, the possibility that there would be no future. This certainly is the specter that haunts Derridaâs âNo Apocalypse, Not Now.â Here, Derrida writes of the potential for a âremainderless cataclysm,â âa total nuclear war, which, as a hypothesis, or, if you prefer, as a fantasy, or phantasmâ (âNo Apocalypseâ 21, 23), provides the condition of possibility for nuclear criticismâand ultimately for the literature that such criticism might take as its object.
Derridaâs essay offered, as Christopher Norris notes, something like a weak and a strong rationale for nuclear criticism, with the weak version essentially the argument for discourse analysis more generally (âNuclearâ 135). Because the nuclear war to which deterrence narratives referred had not happened, except in text, it could have no real referentâonly, as Der-rida argued, a âsignified referentâ (âNo Apocalypseâ 23). Thus, the perpetual staging of that future event in the rhetoric of deterrence made nuclear war âfabulously textualââthough no less potentially hazardous as a consequence. Such textuality necessarily altered relations of expertise: because nuclear war has not occurred, no one is expert in itâall experts are working from speculative fictions (whether political or technoscientific)âand as readers of texts, literary and cultural critics are competent interpreters of the various representations of that fabulous event. The stronger rationale carried this argument a step further by suggesting that while the âremain-derless cataclysmâ could never be a real referent, it was also the ultimate referent, a referent conjured by the sign that marked the very limits of sig-nification. Here, literature takes on a kind of analogical or homological relationship to the nuclear, for, if literature is defined, as Derrida suggests, as that which does notâas other discourses doâimply âreference to a real referent external to the archive itself,â then this is something that it shares with the nuclear, which also âproduc[es] and harbor[s] its own referentâ (âNo Apocalypseâ 26, 27). For Derrida, paradoxically, this âfabulousâ referent is also âthe only referent that is absolutely realâ insofar as, if it were to come, it could not be recontained in the symbolic.
Thus, while the âweakerâ version of nuclear criticism applies the analytical tools of rhetorical analysis to the texts that figure the bomb, this âstrongerâ rationale makes nuclear war into a special instance of literature in general. With the nuclear end representing the possibility of a remain-derless cataclysm, and literature representing that which can talk of nothing else, all literature becomes, in effect, nuclear literature, even when it does not thematize nuclear war and even when its publication precedes the nuclear age. Indeed, Derrida went so far as to tie âdeconstructionâ itself explicitly to the nuclear epoch. And other nuclear critics took up this association of textuality and the nuclear. Thus, Peter Schwenger, following on Derridaâs observation that a nuclear warâwith no one left to commemorate its purpose or memorialize its idealsâwould be the first (and last) war in the name of the name alone, described the nuclear in terms of âan extreme example of the dominance of signifier over signifiedâ (xv), his concern not with what literature might tell us about the nuclear but âwhat the nuclear referent could tell us about literatureâ (xi). Similarly insistent on the symbolic power of the nuclear referent, William Chaloupka, alluding to the language of deterrence, asserted: âNever used but always effective, the power of the nuclearists could be seen as the greatest single accomplishment of the poststructuralist eraâ (12).
Nuclear criticism thus joined Cold War culture more generally in what Daniel Cordle has called a âstate of suspense,â predicated on an end that could have come at any time, and which, when it came, was to have been sudden, precipitous, and total. Nuclear criticism was therefore necessarily oriented toward the future, but in a way that also required imagining the futureâs non-existence. The representation of time and the temporalities of representation are consequently central preoccupations of this work. As Kenneth Ruthven puts it, the instantaneousness of annihilation âdestroys that slow-motion time-sense which our language mimes in the tense-system of its verbs, which separate out a past that was from a present that is and a future that will beâ (81). This, according to Ruthven, is how one might account for Derridaâs use of the future perfect in his âat the beginning there will have been speedâââa nuclear beginning that will be simultaneously an endâ (Ruthven 82). But this reading seems fairly imprecise, for the future perfect does not, in this case, accommodate the paradox of total thermonuclear war. Indeed, Richard Klein, commenting also on nuclear temporality, specifically rejects what he calls the âmimetic reassurance of a future anterior,â in which âthe future is envisaged as if it were the pastâ: âNuclear criticism denies itself that posthumous, apocalyptic perspective, with its pathos, its revelations, and its implicit reassurancesâ (77). If âthere will have been,â there must be a future time at which this will be true, which the total apocalypse-without-revelation of nuclear criticism disallowed. Klein indicated that what nuclear criticism might require by contrast is âa new, nonnarrative future tense,â one that would avoid âthe assumption that the future has a futureâ (76), and he experimented with the paradoxes of the âClass A Blackoutâ and the âPrisonerâs Dilemmaââboth cases in which the future is predicated on a surprise that cannot be predictedâin order to grapple with this problem. In the case, then, of Derridaâs âtotal war,â Kleinâs prisonerâs execution, or the Bulletinâs Doomsday Clock, the cataclysm is always to come.
In retrospect, however, that âfabulousâ end seems not to have come. The end of the Cold War and the dispersal of the referent-to-end-all-text called into question the utility of poststructuralist nuclear criticism. The focus on the textual qualities and future orientation of the bipolar nuclear conflict meant that nuclear critics to some extent colluded in the failure to recognize the multiplying effects of the nuclear on the ground. Nuclear critics tended to follow Derrida in saying that the bombs in Hiroshima and Nagasaki ended a conventional war rather than setting off a nuclear one, a distinction that safely kept the nuclear in the realm of fable.2 And as activists have long pointed out, the subsequent âfabulousâ textuality that predominated in Cold War deterrence narratives always involved real explosions, nuclear tests that were to be read as signs pointing to that future annihilation. As the real people, animals, and plants that were subjected to such tests knew, these weapons were no less ârealâ for being treated as virtual. Of course, nuclear critics were not blind to the dangers of environmental peril, but the urgency of the fast apocalypse tended to eclipse that of the slow. As Schwenger put it:
For most people the most disturbing fact about nuclear temporality is the instantaneousness of nuclear annihilation. If, as we are coming to understand, time is running out for the environment, time is at least still running. Nuclear disaster, on the other hand, is capable of occurring at any moment, in a moment, with no time even for an explanation of why there is no time. (xiii)
When the nuclear is only partially annihilating, however, the uniqueness of nuclear timeâits instantaneousness, its surpriseâdiminishes, even as other risks multiply. Time is certainly still running, even as the disaster is also occurring at any (and every) moment.
TIME TO MOVE ON?
As the urgency of nuclear peril appeared to wane in the early 1990s, concern with environmental issuesâin literary studies as in the larger cultureâgrew. In an inversion of the order of priority outlined by Sch-wenger, by 1993, Kenneth Ruthven was noting that environmental issues were eclipsing the nuclear in perceived urgency and timeliness: âour desire to forget about nuclearism is encouraged by the new environmentalists, who keep telling us that we have much more immediate things to worry about. Indeed, some of the latest doomsayers appear to have traded in their old CND [Campaign for Nuclear Disarmament] badges so as to begin campaigning on a green ticketâ (89). Those nuclear critics whose interest had long been more conventionally ethical and/or activist (rather than more theoretical) in several cases did shift their attention to the environment, but often in the process left behind the nuclear.3 In the Fall 1991 issue of the newsletter for the International Society for the Study of Nuclear Texts and Contexts, for example, Daniel Zins opens his essay âSeventeen Minutes to Midnightâ by recalling the response of a colleague to his workshop on âEnvironmental Securityâ: ââDaniel Zinsâthereâs another one!ââ âWhat he meant,â Zins explains, âwas that here was yet another individual who, preoccupied with the problem of nuclear weapons during the 1980s, was now turning his attention to the possibility of environmental holocaustâ (6).4 Indeed, by the nextâand finalâissue of the newsletter in the Fall of 1992, the editor, Paul Brians, whose bibliography of nuclear texts provides an indispensible resource for the literature of the Cold War, was declaring âFarewell to the First Atomic Ageâ: âThe period originally called âThe Atomic Ageâ has passed: no more dreams of unlimited ...