Stock Trading Made Simple: How to Trade on the Stock Market
eBook - ePub

Stock Trading Made Simple: How to Trade on the Stock Market

The Beginner's Guide

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eBook - ePub

Stock Trading Made Simple: How to Trade on the Stock Market

The Beginner's Guide

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About This Book

Stock Trading Made Simple is packed with actionable, proven tactics to take you from a complete novice with no experience in the stock market to a smart investor who understands how to navigate the complicated world of stock trading.

‘Stock Trading Made Simple’ is a complete handbook for a keen investor.

Being a beginner’s guide, it focuses on-

A Three-Step Approach to Trading Stocks:

How to select potential stocks

How to evaluate those stocks before investing

How to decide when to buy, sell, or hold

The Ultimate Toolkit for New Investors:

How to develop a strong mindset for making logical decisions

Time-tested methods and processes for profitable trading

The actual tools used by veteran stock traders

Market Secrets of the Pros:

How to develop the discipline to stick with your strategy

How to monitor stock performance and identify profitable opportunities

How to build a successful portfolio that builds wealth for future generations

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Information

Publisher
Ade Press Ltd
Year
2017
ISBN
9780995472358
Edition
1
Subtopic
Stocks
CHAPTER 3
STRATEGIES
Deciding precisely, when to enter and when to exit the stock market is extremely hard. Technical analysis is an effective way to analyze the markets or stocks. It will provide you with a road map, which can be used to chalk out future price trends or movements. Prices are represented in the form of charts. Like airfares going up when the demand is high, the price of a stock moves up when the demand is high. This is represented by an increase in buying volume. Now, let me put this in the investing context. The movement of price is called price action. The point where demand starts to increase, and price stops falling and starts to rise, is called ‘support’ or ‘floor’ (Fig 3.1 Resistance or Support). At the point where the price is too high, the demand starts to dry out. The price stops going up, and starts to stall and fall. This is called ‘resistance’ or ‘ceiling’. When you plot price as a dot, and volume as a bar for each day on the y-axis against time (date) on the x-axis, you will get a price chart. When you start connecting these price points, you will get a line chart. Histograms below the price are volume histograms. If sellers are dominant then volume of sellers is shown in darker shade.
Now, if you replace price dots with a vertical line, the top end of the line represents the highest price that it reached that day (price high) and the bottom end represents the lowest it recorded that day (price low). You now have a high-low price bar.
If you take each day’s vertical line and try to add in a bit more detail, by means of adding a horizontal tip to the vertical line to signify the price at which the day started - open price and a right horizontal tip to show the price at which the day ended. You now have 4 price points on each of the lines. Each line represents the open price, close price, high price and low price. Now this is a bar chart. Fig 3.2.a
image
Fig 3.1 Resistance or Support
If you connect the open and close prices with a rectangle and leave the rest of the line on either side, you have a candle. The rectangle connecting open and close is called the body, and the extensions either side that represent high and low are called the wick. If you draw the up price candles as empty candles, and down candles filled, you now have a candlestick chart.
Fig 3.2.a gives a clear visual representation of two chart types - Bar Chart and candlestick chart. Charts used in this book are either bar chart or candlestick chart. Candles with a white body or hallow going up like balloons represent raising price, and are often referred to as bullish candles. Candles shown in the figure below filled are like iron rods falling and are often referred to as bearish candles.
image
Fig 3.2.a. Bar Chart and Candlestick Chart
Imagine that a day’s price movement was plotted both as a bar as well as a candle and Close price is above the Open, then we say the price for the Day is ‘Up’ (Refer to Fig. 3.2.b that shows how a raising price represented as a bar and the same represented in a candlestick format)
image
Fig 3.2.b. Raising Price Bar vs Raising Price Candle
Again imagine that one single day’s price movement is plotted both as a bar and as a candle. If Close price for the day is less than the Open price for the day we say we had a ‘Down’ Day (Refer to Fig. 3.2.c that shows how a falling price represented as a bar and the same represented in a candlestick format)
image
Fig 3.2.c. Falling Price Bar vs Falling Price Candle
Where is support and where is resistance? How do you identify them so that you can buy at the lowest price where price stops falling and starts to raise? How do you identify the point to sell where price is perceived high? To identify this support area or support zone, and resistance area or resistance zone, you need to identify peaks and troughs.
Peak and troughs are often referred to as reaction high or reaction low respectively. The peaks that create major swings are called swing highs and the same applies to swing lows.
image
Fig 3.3.a. Peak and Trough
A peak is a bar or candle that has a higher high than the bar before it and the bar after it. A trough has a lower low compared to the bar that preceded it and the bar that succeeds it.
When you connect at least two troughs or one peak and one trough using a horizontal line, you get the support zone.
image
Fig 3.3.b. Support Zone – Joining Two Troughs
You can mark the support zone with a green line (Refer Fig 3.3.b for Support Zone).
Joining at least two peaks via a horizontal line will give a resistance line, and you can color this red for easy identification. (Refer Fig 3.3.c for Resistance Zone)
image
Fig 3.3.c. Resistance Zone – Join Two Peaks
The distance that price travels from trough to peak is called ‘Up swing’, and from peak to trough, is called ‘Down Swing’. (Refer Fig. 3.3.d Kellogg’s price char). This is because price swings from trough to peak and vice versa. In order to draw support and resistance lines, you need to focus on the peak or trough that had maximum swing lengths. In other words, you need to look for swing pivots that are generating maximum reaction.
image
Fig 3.3.d Up Swing and Down Swing
If you refer to the Amazon chart in Fig 3.3.e, you will notice the peak and the trough (valley) circled. Note the volume, the buying volume is right below the arrow that says conservative entry. When price breaks the resistance line at $580, the resistance (identified by red line) becomes support (line color changed to Green to indicate it has now become support). The same support again becomes resistance as the price goes down, at the price point $580 on the extreme right of the chart.
image
Fig 3.3.e. Peak and Trough, Resistance and Support
When the price breaks through its nearest resistance zone, it comes back to create a trough in the same zone, before stopping and continuing its original course. The resistance zone then becomes its new support zone and vice versa. You need to remember to change the color on your chart to capture this. Support Zones are drawn in Green color and Resistance in red. When Support becomes resistance then change the color from green to red and vice versa.
Even though you draw support and resistance by joining two points, they are actually zones, so do not restrict yourself to the line you need to treat it as a zone. When price is starting to approach the resistance zone or support zone, two things can happen. Either the price will continue its trend, or it will stop and reverse. This is represented in Fig 3.4.
image
Fig 3.4 Price Continuation and Price Reversal

Price continuation

Consider the case of a Resistance zone, price sometimes pierces through the resistance and continues its trend upwards (Fig 3.4). If this happens, you have what is called a ‘break out’. You then have two places to enter the trade (or buy the stock). One comes immediately as soon as the price pierces the resistance zone. This will be an aggressive entry point (aggressive entry because it has higher profit potential but also it is high risk because this could be a false breakout meaning it could reverse and make loss). The second is when the price pierces through the resistance zone, and then comes back to test it. This time the zone becomes a support zone, and the price starts to react and continue its journey upwards. This point will be a conservative entry (Ref Fig 3.3.e for Aggressive and conservative entry points), and you will be entering on the bounce. This point risk is low because you can place your stop below the point where it bounced recently. There is also a third entry possible; this happens when the price breaks the nearest peak or swings high.

Price reversal

Price gets rejected at the resistance zone and bounces in the opposite direction to its original course, like a tennis ball returning from the ceiling when thrown upwards (Fig 3.4). In this case, you should wait f...

Table of contents

  1. Cover Page
  2. Title Page
  3. Copyright
  4. Dedication
  5. Table of Contents
  6. Chapter 01: Stock Market Overview
  7. Chapter 02: Keys to Stock Market Success
  8. Chapter 03: Strategies
  9. Chapter 04: Shortlisting Stocks
  10. Chapter 05: Pre-Trade Analysis
  11. Chapter 06: Managing Money
  12. Chapter 07: Managing Risk
  13. Chapter 08: Managing the Trade
  14. Chapter 09: Mindset
  15. Chapter 10: Plan, Track and Improve
  16. Chapter 11: Achieve Stock Market Success
  17. Chapter 12: Afterword
  18. Chapter 13: Bibliography and References
  19. Back Cover