IN THE HEART OF DARKNESS:
THE SUCCESS OF âISLAMIC STATEâ
The âWar on Terrorâ declared by President Bush after 9/11 was continued by Obama, under a different name but in no less deadly a fashion, and largely with drone-strikes. Since 2001, the US has militarily intervened in seven states in the Muslim world: Afghanistan, Iraq, Somalia, Yemen, Pakistan, Libya and Syria. These interventions have varied in intensity and scope, yet they have all had two consequences. They have pushed states towards collapse, and they have strengthened radical, Islamist movements, including the Taliban, al-Qaida and Islamic State. In no small measure, the West has created the terrorist threat it is fighting.
Even so, Washington has continued to differentiate between âgoodâ and âbadâ jihadis. âGoodâ jihadis fight against âbadâ jihadis such as al-Qaida, or undesirable (i.e. anti-Western) governments. The following example illustrates how this works in practice. According to the news network Al-Jazeera, in summer 2014 the Americans followed a Saudi suggestion to open a new front against Assadâs regime in the south of Syria. One unit associated with the Free Syrian Army, the Yarmouk Brigade, received weapons and special training via Jordan. The Brigade was allegedly âmoderateâ and was supposed to oppose both regime troops and al-Qaida-sympathising Islamists in the north and east of Syria. However, to the chagrin of the Americans, video footage soon emerged showing the Yarmouk Brigade fighting alongside the Nusra Front, an al-Qaida offshoot. Worse still, the Brigade had handed the Nusra Front the state-of-the-art weapons systems they had just been given by Jordan, no doubt in exchange for good hard cash. Meanwhile the Baghdad government reiterated its now familiar complaint that IS in Iraq was using weapons originally supplied to âgoodâ Syrian Islamists by the US.
In Iraq, Washington supports the Shiites against Sunni jihadis, while in Syria, jihadis of the same stripe are encouraged by the US to wage war on the regime in Damascus. This schizophrenia has only strengthened Islamic State â first in Iraq, then in Syria, then back in Iraq. The Islamist movement in Iraq has its roots in the countryâs US-run prisons; later, in Syria, IS grew to a regional power, undisturbed by outside influences; finally, it launched a major offensive back into Iraq from Syria. At the start of June 2014, IS fighters tore down the border posts and declared the âend of Sykes-Picotâ, the arbitrary âlines in the sandâ drawn to create the border between Iraq and Syria by Britain and France after World War I. Within a few weeks they had taken almost all western Iraq and conquered the second-largest Iraqi city, oil-rich Mosul; their territory extended almost to the borders of Baghdad.
The insurgents in Libya were also âgoodâ Islamists. Every sign of al-Qaida sympathies was played down by Washington. Only when US ambassador Chris Stevens was murdered by jihadis in September 2012 did the cry âextremists!â go up, and with the usual consequences: inflamed rhetoric followed by military strikes. Washington now changed tack, applying the al-Qaida label where it did not fit â as it had during the fight against Sunni insurgents in occupied Iraq, though only a small proportion were actually members of al-Qaida. The truth was not important. What mattered was the equation resistance = al-Qaida, because this is what legitimised the Iraq occupation as an essential component of the war against terror. Of course, it also presented the Western public with a scapegoat for the unfolding disaster.
War Is Worth It
All new threats and challenges to the US-led intervention in the region meet the same, reflexive response: more weapons, more force. As the superpowers enter and exit one conflict zone after another, lessons are sometimes learned, but they concern mainly tactics or strategy. The use of violence per se is seldom questioned.
At the time of writing, for example, the party line is that large-scale ground offensives should be avoided in favour of drones and airstrikes, carried out in collaboration with (questionable) local allies. Is this simply to avoid casualties by risking more âboots on the groundâ? Or could there be other forces at work on US defence strategy?
Share prices in the largest US weapons company, Lockheed Martin, tripled between mid-2010 and mid-2014; they doubled between mid-2013 and mid-2014 alone. On 6 October 2014 media organisation Bloomberg reported:
Germanyâs centre-right newspaper, the FrankfĂźrter Allgemeine Zeitung was similarly bullish:
After the first American airstrikes on IS targets in Iraq in August 2014, former CIA Director Leon Panetta told USA Today that the nation was âlooking at a Thirty Year War.â His view, expounded in the book he was promoting at the time, was that this would be a war without territorial limits, extending beyond Islamic State to enfold emerging threats in Nigeria, Somalia, Yemen, Libya and wherever necessary, regardless of consequences for the affected regions and the people living there.
At the other end of the political spectrum, investigative journalist Glenn Greenwald has a similar view:
Caliph vs Caliph
In 2009, in a diplomatic telegram made public online by WikiLeaks, Secretary of State Hillary Clinton complained that Saudi Arabian donors were the biggest funding source for Sunni terrorist groups all over the world, including Islamic State. The funds were not supplied by the government, but by wealthy individuals and religious foundations within the country. The demands heard in Western capitals for Riyadh to block these financial transactions are naĂŻve: any such move would meet with powerful resistance within Saudi Arabia. The US, Britain and other Western nations, continue to pay court to the Saudi regime, and persist against all evidence in seeing it as an ally in the fight against Sunni extremists. Meanwhile, Saudi preachers with audiences of millions openly call for the murder of âhereticâ Shiites.
Before 9/11, MI6 boss Richard Dearlove had a conversation with Prince Bandar bin Sultan, who was then Saudi ambassador to Washington and head of Saudi intelligence. âThe time is not far off in the Middle East, Richard,â said the Saudi diplomat, âwhen it will be literally âGod help the Shiaâ. More than a billion Sunnis have simply had enough of them.â Western governments play down the close ties â both ideological and financial â between Wahhabi state Islam and jihadis; like the Saudi government, they seem to believe the circle can be squared. On the one hand, they deploy Sunni jihadis to fight disagreeable governments, once in Afghanistan against the Soviets, now in Syria against Bashar al-Assad. On the other, they try to control the evil spirits they have let out of the bottle. In short, the lessons of 9/11 remain unlearned.
Prince Bandar was fired from his role as head of the Saudi secret service in 2014, because the government blamed him for strengthening Islamic State in Syria â a consequence of his strategy of using jihadis to try to topple Assad. (Prince Bandar is regarded as the instigator of the attack on Damascus in July 2012.) Yet there is very little indeed to choose between the world view of Wahhabism and the ideology of IS. The brutal approach of the new âCaliphateâ towards Shiites and other minorities, religious and/or ethnic (Kurds because they are not Arabs; Yezidis because they are neither Arabs nor Muslims), is very much in line with what the Saudi Wahhabis preach from their online pulpits, and what the Saudi state itself enforces within its borders through its feared Mutawa, or religious police.
Despite these ideological similarities, Islamic State is also at war with Saudi Arabia. When Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi proclaimed himself Caliph in Mosul on 29 June 2014, he was implicitly challenging Saudi Arabiaâs claim to leadership of the Sunni Islamic world. The nation calls itself âthe Caliphate of the Faithfulâ and the Saudi King bears the title âGuardian of the Holy Statesâ (referring to the pilgrim cities of Mecca and Medina).
Al-Qaida and Islamic State cannot be destroyed without attacking the roots and placing the Saudi regime itself under quarantine. Yet since Saudi Arabia is officially âpro-Westâ and the worldâs largest producer of oil, this will almost certainly never happen. Even if the latest crop of extremists are defeated, the fighters will go underground, carry on under a different name or split up. Wahhabism, ISâs spiritual bedrock, will still exist, as will the collapsed states of Syria and Iraq. All over the region, Sunnis and Shiites will continue to be at loggerheads.
As mentioned above, Islamic State emerged in Iraq, where al-Qaida had had little success in rallying the local population to its cause. In fact, many tribes along the Euphrates actively fought the terror organisation, supported with money and weapons from the US. Few Iraqi Sunnis shared al-Qaidaâs dream of a world-wide jihad against the crusaders. Their priority was to regain the power they had lost within Iraq. In any case, so many of al-Qaidaâs units were composed of foreign fighters that few Iraqis felt they had common cause with them.
This changed with IS, which at first was a purely Iraqi group, seeking and gaining power strictly within the borders of the nation. It relied on pre-existing structures built by al-Qaida, the Saddam regime or the Sunni tribes. Among its ranks were former officers, generals, secret service agents and soldiers who had served under Saddam. This gave them an edge in combat, intelligence and organisation. Funding from the Gulf States was another factor: it meant better weapons, more military success, more cash to pay the rank and file, and more recruits.
Down with the Romans!
If the war in Syria had not opened new fronts, IS would probably have remained within Iraq. But more and more Iraqi Shiites joined the Lebanese Hezbollah to fight on the side of Assad, fuelling the resentment of Sunnis, both in Iraq and Syria. They began to frame the conflict, not in terms of being pro- or anti-Assad, but of defending Sunni Islam against the heretical Shiites.
Its ranks swollen by outraged Sunnis, IS began to enlarge its sphere of activity, spreading from Iraq into Syria. It changed its name from âIslamic State in Iraqâ to âIslamic State in Iraq and Shamâ. In English, Sham is usually rendered as Syria, Greater Syria or the Levant, but the name (which, confusingly, is also used as a slang term for Damascus) has extra significance for devout Muslims. Historically, Sham encompasses todayâs Syria, Lebanon, Israel/Palestine, and Jordan. Jerusalem, with its al-Aqsa Mosque commemorating the Prophetâs ascent to Heaven, is the third holiest city in Islam, after Mecca and Medina. Damascus was the capital of the Umayyad Caliphate (661â750), the first Sunni empire. The city contains the graves of Saladin, the man who drove the crusaders from Jerusalem in 1187, and Ahmad ibn Taymiyya (1263â1328), an ultra-conservative law scholar who inspired the founders of Wahhabism. Many graves sacred to the Shiites also lie within Shamâs territory, including the shrine to the Prophetâs granddaughter, Zeinab, not far from Damascus.
Lastly, both Sunnis and Shiites â at least the most devout among them â believe that Sham will be the site of Armageddon, the Final Battle. According to one hadith (an account of the words and deeds of the Prophet), Muhammad declared: âThe Last Hour would not come until the Romans would land at al-Aâmaq or in Dabiq. An army consisting of the best (soldiers) of the people of the earth at that time will come from Medina (to counteract them).â
Al-Aâmaq and Dabiq are both situated north-east of Aleppo, on the Turkish border; âRomansâ denotes the Byzantines. According to the story, the Muslim army will meet a tremendous force of 42 armies, yet will triumph over the enemy. The Shiites, who only make up ten percent of Muslims, believe that after this final battle, the Mahdi, the Redeemer, will appear, and lead the devout into paradise. Radical Sunnis, meanwhile, interpret the hadith as a promise of a final victory over the infidel â including the Shiites.
It is therefore no surprise that Islamic State publishes an online magazine bearing the name of Dabiq. At its ideological heart is this powerful notion of an End-Time, followed by salvation. The evolution of the groupâs name, from âIslamic State in Iraqâ to âIslamic State in Iraq and Shamâ, and finally to âIslamic Stateâ, reflects the rapid transformation that, within just a few years, turned an internal Iraqi organisation into a jihadi group speaking to the whole Sunni world. People in the West tend to label it as a terrorist organisation, and in so doing vastly underestimate its ambition. It is an Islamic state project that aims to tear...