Whiskey is for drinking; water is for fighting over.
āAttributed to Mark Twain
Till taught by pain, Men know not waterās worth.
āLord Byron
On a trip to Chinaās Inner Mongolia in 2017, I met with the manager of a large multinational snack food company that was growing thousands of acres of potatoes. The company has adopted the most progressive water management techniques, including sensor-driven drip irrigation, but few other farmers in the region are making similar investments. The manager lamented: āIām growing what we hope will be a $2 billion snack food businesses in China, and I know it is not sustainable. We depend on groundwater deposited a thousand years ago when the Yellow River flowed through this area. Its present course is nearly one hundred miles to the south, and we will exhaust the available groundwater resource in the next thirty years. I will be long gone, but someone is going to have a mess on their hands.ā Unfortunately, this situation is all too common across the globe.
Closer to home, almost no water from the mighty Colorado River, the river that carved the Grand Canyon, has reached the Gulf of California since the 1960sāmore than sixty years ago. Mostāif not allāof the flow in the Colorado is extracted for human use, mostly for agriculture, and even the major reservoirs at Lake Mead and Lake Powell have been drawn down to unprecedented low levels. Using more than you have is not sustainable, and the Colorado is by no means an exception in the United States. The Rio Grande, another major US river, which flows along the border with Mexico to the Gulf of Mexico, is in a similar perilous state. Yet even if we could dial back the human use of the river to a sustainable level, the systematic channeling and manipulation of these once-mighty rivers would no longer facilitate the regular flooding of their estuaries, essential to the productivity of both gulfsā ecosystems and the economic viability of their fishing communities.
Sadly, the situation in the United States is not unique. India, home to 16 percent of the worldās population, has only 4 percent of the worldās freshwater resources. Water shortages impact nearly one billion people in India today, and that number is expected to grow to 1.8 billion by 2025. By 2050, five times as much land in India is likely to be under extreme drought than today.1
The overuse of rivers and lakes is not the only challenge. More than two billion people worldwide rely on groundwater as their primary source of drinking water and for everyday household activities,2 yet groundwater extraction in many places far exceeds the natural recharge levels and thus requires deeper and deeper wellsāand more fossil fuels to extract. California, for example, will demand three times more groundwater than can be supplied over the next one hundred years due to increasing demand for water driven by agriculture, energy, and growing urban populations.3
The physical shortage of water is only one of the problems. Much of the worldās freshwater is polluted. Consider these facts:
- ā¢ At any one time, half of the worldās hospital beds are occupied by patients suffering from waterborne diseases.
- ā¢ In developing countries, about 80 percent of illnesses are linked to poor water and sanitation conditions.
- ā¢ Worldwide, 25 percent of deaths of children under the age of five are due to a water-related disease.
Around the world, communities, businesses, and ecosystems are running out of water, and the water we do have access to is increasingly polluted by industrial activities, agricultural fertilizers, or lack of sufficient sanitation services to match growing human populations. At a global scale, more than half of the worldās cities and three-fourths of all irrigated farms are experiencing water shortages on a recurring basis, with damaging economic consequences. Freshwater species are disappearing as their habitats dry up from water extractions. Clearly, unless we can secure more, cleaner water for people and for nature, we are on a collision course with disaster.
One alternative water source, promoted for areas near oceans, is desalination, but the technology is expensive. The cost for desalinated water from modern plants is more than $2,000 per acre-foot, the volume of water it takes to cover one acre of field with a foot of water.4 Such high costs may be affordable in the wealthy cities of the developed world but are prohibitive for agriculture, which uses 80 to 90 percent of water globally, and most of the developing world. For comparison, California farmers pay as little as $4 per acre-foot for water delivered via aqueducts.5 In India, electricity to pump water from canals or the ground is provided for free. With water so cheap, there is little incentive to invest in conservation or efficiency improvements until it is too late and the water is gone.
The most cost-effective ways to ensure access to sufficient quantities of water is to address the efficiency of the biggest user, and that means improving agricultural water use. Fortunately, there are effective ways to dramatically lower the amount of water used by agriculture. For example, replacing inefficient flood irrigation and surface application with drip irrigation can reduce water consumption by 50 percent.6 And with agriculture consuming so much of our water, even small reductions can yield substantial improvements. Low-cost sensors, which have become increasingly affordable, can provide real-time monitoring of soil moisture content, increasing the potential for adaptive, incremental water savings.
Although improving irrigation technology is essential, so is the substitution of less water-intensive crops. For example, on Indiaās Indo-Gangetic Plain, more than thirty million acres of rice are grown annually during the monsoonal rain season when water is comparatively plentiful. Although much of this practice is rooted in systems established during the green revolution of the 1960s, three states in this region have had to legally prohibit rice planting until the start of the monsoon seasonāaround June 15āin an effort to reduce the use of groundwater to flood rice fields. At the end of the monsoon, farmers switch to growing beans and wheatācrops that do not require as much water as riceāto reduce demands on the use of groundwater and river water during the dry season. This kind of crop shifting can dramatically reduce water use. Still, there are a startling number of villages in India where groundwater supplies are no longer plentiful enough to support farming. And when you consider that the country will likely need 50 percent more food to feed its still-growing population while lifting its remaining three hundred million poor out of poverty, alarms begin to ring. There is no untapped arable land in Indiaānor much in the rest of Asia. Far more dramatic changes are ahead unless we want to literally run out of water. The good news is that we know how to reduce water use in agriculture if we have the political will to implement these changes.7
Although it is increasingly clear that efficiency gains are the quickest, cheapest way to ensure access to water at an affordable price, the problem is getting both farmers and consumers to adopt best practices. To do so, we need both policy tools and market tools to incentivize change. These changes will not be easy to adopt; for starters, many view water as a basic human right that is not for sale to the highest bidder. Still, we must find a way to provide for essential human needs while encouraging better practices. But can markets for water work?