It was in the year 2000 that Kenneth Pomeranz
, then a professor at the University of California, unleashed upon the somewhat staid world of economic history his book The Great Divergence
(Pomeranz 2000). As historiansânot just economic ones, as it turned outâbegan to absorb the detailed arguments and evidence that the book contained, it became clear that a seminal challenge had been posed to a very longstanding consensus view of the path that global economic history had taken from early-modern times. This consensus maintained that the unprecedented leap into sustained economic growth brought about by the Industrial Revolution was rooted in a pattern of development that had prevailed in Europe since at least the sixteenth century. It was therefore this âsuperiorityâ that explained the economic, political, and military dominance that Europe, and in due course the USA, came to be able to exercise in the world from the eighteenth century onwards, and hence the inequality in living standards between the âWest and the restâ that only began to narrow in the later twentieth century, as major Asian countries started to âcatch upâ.
Against this, Pomeranz essentially argued that this long-term European
âsuperiorityâ that was assumed to have brought about the Industrial Revolution could not be demonstrated on the ground, and that in fact significant parts of Asia could be shown to have been as developed, from the point of view of the factors that determine economic output and living standards, as much of Europe up to the eighteenth century. It was only thereafter, he maintained, as a result of the Industrial Revolution itself, that the divergence in fortunes across Eurasia set in. Consequently, the industrialisation that had made Europe and the USA the dominant forces in the world economy by the nineteenth century could not be explained as the outcome of particular long-term features of the economies, societies, or cultures of the West. If eighteenth-century China was as well placed as England to achieve sustained economic development, then the fact that the Industrial Revolution
occurred when and where it did can only have been the result of particular contingent factors that came to operate on one place but not the other.
Pomeranzâs clear challenge to the Eurocentric picture of global economic change in the early-modern and modern eras has given rise to an explosion of debate that has brought the whole field of world history to life. As we shall see, by no means all of Pomeranzâs contentions have withstood the testing to which they have been subjected, but The Great Divergence has forced global comparison on to the agenda of historical analysis and shaken historians out of their Eurocentric assumptions, giving rise to what Eric Vanhaute
deems the âsingle most important debate in recent global historyâ (Vanhaute 2015: 7).
Although, where possible, The Great Divergence does include evidence from various parts of Asia, including India and Japan, given Pomeranzâs interests and expertise, the focus is predominantly on the comparison between (parts of) northern Europe and China. Moreover, it has principally been scholars of China who have risen to the challenge of testing and debating the bookâs arguments. Scholars of India
have more recently begun to take the Great Divergence debate on board, and Prasannan Parthasarathi
âs book Why Europe Grew Rich and Asia Did Not (Parthasarathi 2011) represents a thorough analysis of Indian economic history within a comparative economic framework. Meanwhile, work on the Ottoman Empire
has begun to appear within the growing number of collected volumes inspired by the debate (e.g. Broadberry and Hindle 2011). However, as later chapters will show, although dutifully mentioned from time to time, it is largely only within the context of global quantitative comparisons that Japan appears in the discussion. While the efforts to estimate macro-level indicators of Japanâs development over long periods of time have produced interesting results, these have for the most part passed by non-quantitative historians, who continue to conduct their detailed research outside any comparative framework.
This is unfortunate because, as this book aims to show, global historians and scholars of Japan have much to offer each other in terms of both evidence and analytical insights. Japanâs early-modern and modern history has by now been extensively and intensively researched by both Japanese- and Western-language scholars, yet little of this work finds its way into the global and comparative literature emerging out of the Great Divergence debate. As a result, the light that the case of Japanâthe only non-Western country to achieve significant industrialisation before the Second World Warâmight throw on the issues raised by the debate has scarcely been allowed to shine. In as far as work on Japan, subconsciously or not, accepts a global framework, it remains, with some notable exceptions, that of the Eurocentric âcatch-up
â model which the Great Divergence debate has so profoundly challenged.
This short book is therefore an attempt to promote dialogue between scholars of Japan and global/comparative historians, and to suggest some of the ways in which the Japanese case might fit into and throw light on the Great Divergence debate. Part I outlines the debate and the issues it has raised, so as to provide a framework within which to fit Japanese evidence. Part II assembles and summarises some of this evidence, concentrating for the most part on that published in English which might be available to non-Asian global historians. Throughout, the book makes substantial use of the important work of more-or-less quantitative economic historians of Japan, which is not always known by or accessible to a non-specialist readership. Equally, though, recent years have seen the publication of a growing number of remarkable qualitative studies of particular aspects of Japanâs early-modern and modernising history by a new generation of scholars. These may well not make it over the disciplinary border between Japanese studies and economic history but can, I believe, be shown to have important, if largely unexplored, implications for the comparative understanding of industrialisation and its preconditions.
In the end, of course, the book offers no definitive answers to the questions posed by the inclusion of Japan in the Great Divergence debateâin some ways, paradoxically, it reinforces the conclusion that research presented in a comparative context merely serves to emphasise the variety of distinctive paths that economic development has taken over the centuries. Nonetheless, if it stimulates others to view Japanâs history within the broader lens that Pomeranzâs seminal work makes possible, it will have done its job.
References
Broadberry, S., & Hindle, S. (Eds.). (2011). Asia in the great divergence. Economic History Review, 64 (special issue), s1.
Parthasarathi, P. (2011). Why Europe grew rich and Asia did not: Global economic divergence, 1600â1850. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Pomeranz, K. (2000). The great divergence: China, Europe and the making of the modern world economy. Princeton: Princeton University Press.
Vanhaute, E. (2015). Escaping the great divergence? A discussion about and in response to Peer Vriesâs Escaping poverty: The origins of modern economic growth. An introduction. Tijdschrift voor Sociale en Economische Gescheidnis 12(2), 3â16.
The Great Divergence is a long and dense book designed to provide the evidence to support Pomeranzâs clear and straightforwardâthough, as it turned out, highly provocativeâclaim for âa world of surprising resemblancesâ across Eurasia in the eighteenth century. 1 Its central focus is on a comparison between the two regions that represent, according to Pomeranz , the most developed parts of Europe and Asia, respectively, in the early-modern period, England and the Yangzi Delta in China. Other regionsâfor example, Holland on the European side and Moghul India and Tokugawa Japan, as well as other areas of China, on the Asian sideâare brought in from time to time, but one of Pomeranzâs innovations has been to search out and work with comparable parts of two vast continents, rather than making a simple EastâWest divide. It is on this basis that he presents his argument for the possibility of similar levels of income, welfare, and economic development in general across pre-industrial Eurasia, with its implication that the Great Divergence in prosperity only emerged once Europe had discovered the secret of the sustained and rapid economic growth that industrialisation made possible.
Pomeranzâs attempt to bring together comparable quantitative and qualitative data to support such an argument was largely unprecedented. Nonetheless, he was able to assemble a wide range of evidence on incomes, living standards, and the institutions and infrastructure underlying the economies of both his regions in the seventeenth and eighteenth centuries. This enabled him to argue that levels of consumption of food, textiles, and other basic goods were broadly equivalent (even if quite different in their composition) and that comparable standards of welfare led to comparable life expectancies. At the same time, he showed that the degree of commercialisation did not differ significantly across the two economies and that sophisticated market systems operated in China as in England. Local, national, and international trade were highly developed in both regions, and the institutional bases for market activity, such as property rights, were equally well established, even if their forms were different. The Yangzi Delta thus appeared to have been as capable as England of generating the form of economic expansion, based on the spread of the market and the consequent division of labour, that has come to be known as âSmithian â growth. 2 Hence, in terms of the factors that determined the level of economic development in the pre-industrial world, the Yangzi Delta and England appeared to resemble each other more than they differed.
If this were so, the implications for understanding of the pattern of world development over the centuries were nothing short of revolutionary. Since the nineteenth century at least, those looking for answers to the question of why the Industrial Revolution began in England/Europe, or to the closely related âNeedham questionâ as to why the Scientific Revolution did not take place in China, had turned to any number of particular features of European economic, social, cultural, or political history that could be contrasted with their Chinese, or more broadly Asian, counterparts. As later chapters will illustrate, explanations ranged from the impact of the European voyages of discovery and the acquisition of empires, through the invention of the institutions of...