The Triadic Relationship
The book’s main theoretical framework is centred on the delegation and accountability relationship between candidates, voters and parties based on principal–agent theory (PAT, or “agency theory”). This is one of the most common frameworks used to analyse various representation processes in Western democracies (Strøm et al. 2003b). It has served for identifying problems of representation (such as “agency loss ”, i.e. the difference between what the voter wants and what the MP delivers) and institutional mechanisms that may constrain these “perils of delegation” (Lupia 2003).
In studies of elections and representation, the principal–agent model is often applied as a heuristic tool that helps to identify the key actors of the process of representation, but this model is also useful for understanding and explaining the real-life politics of delegation between the “ultimate” principal (the voters) and their “immediate” agents in the delegation chain: the candidates and their parties. 1
First, what do we mean by this principal–agent model, or this model of delegation and accountability? Delegation is an act whereby one person or group, called the principal (i.e. those authorised to make political decisions), conditionally designates another person or group, called the agent , to act on the principal’s behalf, in their name and pursuing the principal’s preferences (Lupia 2003, 35). In a democracy, the basic normative assumption is that the population, the citizens, are the “ultimate principal”, and that policymakers should do what the citizens want them to do. In contemporary large-scale democracies, popular sovereignty is exercised through delegation from citizens to individual politicians (their elected representatives) and collective actors, here in particular political parties. Citizens engage in a delegation process as this allows them to accomplish desired ends, good governance, with reduced personal cost and effort. In fact, citizens are not always capable of making all (or most) necessary decisions. Their capacity is limited by a variety of resource constraints, such as lack of time, competence, expertise and/or information (Strøm 2003, 57–58). They thus need principals to act on their behalf. However, delegation may encounter various “perils”. Given that delegation entails a transfer of power, agents may abuse the power they receive (Lupia 2003, 53) and pursue their own preferences. That is most commonly called “agency loss ”. The main cause for agency loss is “information asymmetries”, i.e. when the political agent (candidate, party) knows more than his principal (his voters). Agency problems under incomplete information may take the form of hidden information (principals do not fully know the competencies or preferences of their agents) and give rise to “adverse selection” when the principal ignores the agent’s willingness as well as her capacity to pursue the principal’s interests. Hence, principals may select the “wrong” agents, who do not have the most appropriate skills or preferences. It can also lead to hidden action (when principals cannot fully observe the actions of their agents).
The perils of delegation can be facilitated but also alleviated by a variety of factors, in particular by institutional arrangements that affect the provision of information to political principals as ex ante or ex post mechanisms (Bergman et al. 2003), as distinguished by formal theorists. A principal may use ex ante mechanisms (screening, selection and contract design) to sort out good agents from bad ones, before (ex ante) a contract is made, typically when she can select from a group of competing individuals (i.e. candidates and their parties) the one she prefers to act as her agent. Competitive elections (including competitive campaigns) constitute the most crucial screening and selection device that voters can use to avoid adverse selection. Before Election Day, political parties might select the best possible agents (the candidates chosen during candidate selection processes) and on Election Day, voters decide on their preferred agents. The candidates as agents have the time of the campaign to convince, first, parties, and then voters that they are reliable agents.
In order to deal with hidden action, principals may use ex post mechanisms to learn about an agent’s actions after the fact, by directly monitoring the agent on the spot, listening to what the agent reports back about his activities, or by attending to “third party” testimony about agent actions. The most basic control mechanism of representative democracy is elections, which can be used both to select agents in the first place and to subject them to sanctions, mostly by “deselection” by “throwing the rascals out” in the next election (Bergman et al. 2003, 110). Voters use elections both prospectively (to select new representatives) and retrospectively (to sanction incumbent MPs). But parties may also do the same by not selecting a candidate on an eligible position on the list, which will prevent this candidate from becoming an MP (again).
Based on the discussion above, it is clear that the key actor of this book, the parliamentary candidate, is a type of agent that may have multiple principals. From the perspective of agency theory on parliamentary democracy, it is obvious that voters must be considered as principals, in fact as the ultimate principal at the very beginning of the chain of delegation from voters to MPs, Cabinet Ministers and their civil servants (Strøm 2000).
It is also clear that after the election, non-elected candidates are not agents in a strict sense as no power is transferred. Hence, we can presume that there are basic delegation differences between successful and non-successful candidates. Yet we can stretch principal–agent assumptions to include non-successful candidates, as there are sufficient similarities between both types of agents.
First, we argue that not only the elected MPs, but that also the unfortunate non-elected candidates are key actors in the delegation process. At each election, numerous citizens cast a “wasted vote”. This is particularly true for single-member district (SMD) plurality systems. For instance, at the UK general elections of 2010, more than half (52.8%) of the votes were cast for candidates that did not get into the Palace of Westminster. 2 But also in (semi-)open PR list systems like Belgium, many votes are wasted, 3 in spite of the fact that a preference vote for a non-elected candidate still counts as a party vote used to calculate the number of seats of the party (unless the party does not reach the ...